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CMU Wins CDC Competition Again

Roni RosenfeldFor three years now, Carnegie Mellon University's Delphi-Stat group, under the leadership of Roni Rosenfeld, PhD, has won the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's competition in predicting week-to-week influenza activity levels in 10 regions of the nation, along with national totals. "We're gratified that our forecasting methods continue to perform as well as they do, but it's important to remember that epidemiological forecasting remains in its infancy", said Dr. Rosenfeld. The forecasting effort is expected to help health officials better plan for peak periods of infection, while providing the public with more accurate information to avoid getting the flu. Read more: CMU is the world's best at predicting influenza activity.

Coming Soon: New Release of FRED

New Release!A new version of FRED (A Framework for Reconstructing Epidemiological Dynamics) will soon be ready for release. FRED is a tool for building epidemiological agent-based (individual-based) models and is designed to study how patterns of health conditions in defined populations vary over time. The new FRED will make population modeling easier. It is a unique tool for social science modeling and no computer programming is needed. A systems thinking approach is required to identify conditions of interest, their states, and the rules for changing states. FRED will simplify the workflow environment and manage the data produced by the simulation. To read more about the new FRED platform, click here.

 

The Classics

nature coverIn June 2017, Google Scholar released a collection of highly-cited papers in their area of research that have stood the test of time. These Classic Papers were published in 2006 and the list includes the ten most-cited articles, proving that though research is often about the latest findings, some have an impact long after their publication.

We are proud to report that in the field of epidemiology, the Classic Papers list includes a 2006 publication co-authored by Dean Donald Burke, who was at Johns Hopkins University at the time, and others from Johns Hopkins, Imperial College London, and RTI. Not only was the Nature paper "Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic" included on the list, it had 1500 citations and was the #1 most cited article in the field of epidemiology!

Congratulations to Dean Burke and his co-authors!

 

NPR Program on Pitt Public Health’s Resilience Workshop

npr logoAllegheny Front, an NPR program that runs on several NPR affiliates including WESA in Pittsburgh, recently released a radio piece from the April 17, 2017 emergency preparedness resilience workshop hosted by Pitt Public Health, City of Pittsburgh and Intermedix: http://www.alleghenyfront.org/your-environment-update-for-thursday-july-6-2017/. The original article titled "City of Pittsburgh Prepares for a Severe Air Quality Incident Using Predictive Analytics Technology" was posted on May 26, 2017.

 

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